grangel93
0xc7de6cf713898590feb77ad9bce02515292ea7df
- Realised P&L
- $-173.61
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $64.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.527 | $46.92 | −$7.08 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.335 | $17.42 | −$9.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-15.46at 0.309Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- +$-25.02at 0.498Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?
- +$-131.79at 0.575Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:37 | Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | SELL | 0.2607594157 | $71.94 |
| 09-08 23:00 | Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | SELL | 0.2814525997 | $122.82 |
| 08-26 18:33 | Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | BUY | 0.3006805327 | $82.95 |
| 08-26 18:04 | Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | SELL | 0.36 | $61.18 |
| 08-25 19:24 | Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | BUY | 0.624271915 | $210.00 |
| 08-25 19:23 | Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-22 07:32 | Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | BUY | 0.4936687757 | $34.94 |
| 08-22 07:32 | Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | BUY | 0.4839506144 | $48.00 |
| 08-22 07:21 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? | BUY | 0.5193639276 | $27.00 |
| 08-22 07:19 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.607132366 | $54.00 |