dianarodriguez
0xc7d9ce82082447b440bfb3de943bba269061245e
- Realised P&L
- $-113.04
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $47.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27? · No | 0.530 | 1.000 | $21.96 | +$10.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 29? · No | 0.670 | 0.690 | $13.89 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.555 | $7.85 | −$0.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.495 | $3.64 | −$2.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.88at 0.975OpenAI browser in July?
- +$0.32at 0.989Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?
- +$0.17at 0.985Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.16at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.13at 0.995Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:51 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $5.59 |
| 01-31 13:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999392 | $16.01 |
| 01-30 14:26 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.87 |
| 01-30 14:18 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.71 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.26 |
| 12-30 11:17 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.18 |
| 12-30 09:12 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.85 |
| 12-29 22:56 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.87 |
| 12-29 20:42 | US national XRP reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999966 | $34.85 |
| 12-29 19:03 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.07 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.65 |
| 10-30 18:18 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $29.15 |
| 09-29 17:24 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.08 |
| 09-29 16:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.64 |
| 09-29 03:22 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.58 |