PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc7cDcC7E10fb59E928cA7BccE09292921cECA191-1768410199894

0xc7cdcc7e10fb59e928ca7bcce09292921ceca191

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$19.5k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$216.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.040$197.50$302.50
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0570.011$19.39$80.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-19 11:14US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?SELL0.1983335324$448.29
02-19 11:12Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.2769981772$907.23
02-18 21:56Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?BUY0.0567405504$100.00
02-18 21:42US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?BUY0.221210122$500.00
02-15 11:30Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3025780033$500.00
02-15 11:28Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0610647598$200.00
02-15 11:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$500.00