0xc7cDcC7E10fb59E928cA7BccE09292921cECA191-1768410199894
0xc7cdcc7e10fb59e928ca7bcce09292921ceca191
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $216.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.040 | $197.50 | −$302.50 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.011 | $19.39 | −$80.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.302Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$707.23at 0.061Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-51.71at 0.221US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 11:14 | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.1983335324 | $448.29 |
| 02-19 11:12 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2769981772 | $907.23 |
| 02-18 21:56 | Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BUY | 0.0567405504 | $100.00 |
| 02-18 21:42 | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.221210122 | $500.00 |
| 02-15 11:30 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3025780033 | $500.00 |
| 02-15 11:28 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0610647598 | $200.00 |
| 02-15 11:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |