allabtkris2
0xc7c9bf3cd0d2e9716ce2a6b5affb4fd6d5059383
- Realised P&L
- $-54.75
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $38.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.36at 0.144Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14?
- +$44.28at 0.410Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$20.62at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?
- +$20.33at 0.577Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 2?
- +$17.48at 0.540Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:36 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.29 | $6.09 |
| 10-30 11:10 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $132.50 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 11:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.282926826 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:14 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5905511685 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $232 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4023789286 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:00 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:37 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:57 | Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:49 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:39 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? | SELL | 0.64 | $8.96 |