ID1
0xc7b64d664e826cc1c5bc8735fdf0c5d3515426ed
- Realised P&L
- $-14.62
- Volume
- $388.47
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $22.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.450 | 1.000 | $16.66 | +$9.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.595 | $3.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.245 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 6? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.034 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.39at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3?
- +$-2.84at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.449999991 | $7.50 |
| 10-04 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3935999855 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2655737539 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 10-03 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.0326084259 | $3.99 |
| 10-03 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0485959024 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0449999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0164592797 | $1.00 |