molnarbalintt
0xc7b641402958f58ddf187a588b8e10c8082a0135
- Realised P&L
- $12.79
- Volume
- $120.83
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $38.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.520 | 0.535 | $8.23 | +$0.23 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) · Eagles | 0.460 | 0.495 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Chiefs | 0.670 | 0.785 | $4.69 | +$0.69 |
| Spread: Commanders (-17.5) · Eagles | 0.830 | 0.825 | $3.98 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Bengals (-21.5) · Titans | 0.790 | 1.000 | $3.80 | +$0.80 |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) · Chargers | 0.820 | 0.770 | $3.76 | −$0.24 |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Dolphins | 0.550 | 0.910 | $3.31 | +$1.31 |
| Spread: Rams (-14.5) · Chargers | 0.760 | 0.655 | $2.59 | −$0.41 |
| Spread: Broncos (-7.5) · Chiefs | 0.810 | 0.915 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.420 | 0.425 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Spread: Commanders (-14.5) · Eagles | 0.790 | 0.775 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) · Lakers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) · Lakers | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.470Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
- +$4.21at 0.592Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
- +$3.89at 0.477Spread: Packers (-4.5)
- +$3.00at 0.477Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5
- +$2.88at 0.510Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:26 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4899999654 | $5.10 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Spread: Bengals (-21.5) | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Spread: Browns (-3.5) | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:18 | Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:16 | Spread: Rams (-14.5) | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Spread: Rams (-17.5) | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Spread: Commanders (-17.5) | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 15:10 | Spread: Bills (-13.5) | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 09:14 | Spread: Jets (-7.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $4.80 |
| 10-31 09:12 | Spread: Jets (-9.5) | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 09:12 | Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $8.00 |
| 10-30 15:34 | Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.88 | $8.28 |
| 10-30 15:09 | Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 15:05 | Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 | BUY | 0.4699999803 | $4.76 |