BallsMan
0xc7b0f37f7b57a8c527d6a44dfafd3535e4559fb0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $111.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $496.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No | 0.987 | 0.994 | $496.74 | +$3.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ET · Down | 0.204 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.110Panthers vs. Falcons
- +$1.3kat 0.280Packers vs. Steelers
- +$839.12at 0.450Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
- +$753.57at 0.481Jaguars vs. Raiders
- +$651.36at 0.190Bills vs. Dolphins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.2045105735 | $300.00 |
| 09-15 16:51 | Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.86 | $0.34 |
| 05-05 21:43 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.086 | $12.30 |
| 05-05 04:54 | Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? | BUY | 0.993 | $28.80 |
| 05-05 04:54 | Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 05-05 03:57 | Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 05-05 03:52 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.56 | $224.00 |
| 03-01 18:31 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.23 |
| 03-01 18:30 | Will Matisse Thybulle lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.961 | $97.92 |
| 02-17 03:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 01-03 04:49 | Will Danil "Molodoy" Golubenko win the HLTV Rookie of the Year award | SELL | 0.9802364445 | $376.93 |
| 12-25 18:04 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 12-24 14:00 | Will Drin "Makazze" Shaqiri win the HLTV Rookie of the Year award | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 12-24 03:46 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West? | SELL | 0.48 | $380.35 |
| 12-23 17:59 | Will Drin "Makazze" Shaqiri win the HLTV Rookie of the Year award | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |