0xc7B0bC193ce93536a8D09812d02cb77cC4692610-1772429069384
0xc7b0bc193ce93536a8d09812d02cb77cc4692610
- Realised P&L
- $-8.51
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $15.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.996 | $7.97 | +$3.01 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? · No | 0.650 | 0.999 | $7.68 | +$2.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.86at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 27?
- +$4.80at 0.510LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.39at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30?
- +$4.09at 0.550Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)
- +$3.77at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on April 8? | SELL | 0.995 | $7.61 |
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.57 |
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.56 |
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.991 | $7.68 |
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.61 |
| 04-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.962 | $7.50 |