Kaloyan
0xc7ad7272f93e460d270ece9648848432dbc00e38
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $69.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-42.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.120 | $57.51 | −$13.83 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.225 | $7.03 | −$2.97 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.117 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.005 | $0.37 | −$4.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.21at 0.040Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$60.91at 0.227Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$-5.99at 0.160Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?
- +$-6.00at 0.265Will Kamala Harris say "Context" during DNC speech?
- +$-79.02at 0.331Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:41 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1488524133 | $71.34 |
| 10-13 18:39 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.0736289776 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 18:39 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 18:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 00:17 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.762370777 | $143.75 |
| 04-18 11:50 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0399363564 | $7.53 |
| 11-04 13:24 | Trump wins every swing state? | BUY | 0.8099999991 | $384.69 |
| 11-01 14:56 | Trump wins every swing state? | BUY | 0.7799999994 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 09:03 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3309999983 | $79.02 |
| 08-20 09:50 | Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.99 |
| 08-20 09:50 | Will Kamala Harris say "Context" during DNC speech? | BUY | 0.2649959699 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 12:54 | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | SELL | 0.996 | $78.90 |
| 08-05 18:21 | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | BUY | 0.3569999806 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 21:38 | Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | BUY | 0.175999988 | $10.00 |