RandomBETS1
0xc7a96310bd0f06311227001cd725d63ee3ab3f32
- Realised P&L
- $-204.74
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $76.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.955 | $27.70 | +$16.39 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No | 0.190 | 0.805 | $21.21 | +$16.21 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.045 | $8.44 | −$7.44 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.495 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
| Will Trump say "BMW" in October? · No | 0.430 | 0.395 | $5.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $5.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Uber" in October? · No | 0.480 | 0.315 | $3.28 | −$1.72 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · No | 0.228 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$11.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.12at 0.188Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$60.71at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
- +$38.65at 0.405Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$28.35at 0.338Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$26.91at 0.313Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 05:40 | Will Trump say "Uber" in October? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | Will Trump say "BMW" in October? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 21:43 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.2279672892 | $12.00 |
| 09-24 10:10 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:18 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.386309631 | $4.29 |
| 09-22 05:18 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:17 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 19:54 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.17 |
| 09-18 19:54 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.75 |
| 09-18 19:54 | Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 19:54 | Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 19:46 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 07:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3823529142 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 07:11 | Will the Mamdani’s announcement not air? | BUY | 0.0484381177 | $1.00 |