PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

RandomBETS1

0xc7a96310bd0f06311227001cd725d63ee3ab3f32

Realised P&L
$-204.74
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$76.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3900.955$27.70+$16.39
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.1900.805$21.21+$16.21
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0850.045$8.44−$7.44
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4300.495$5.76+$0.76
Will Trump say "BMW" in October? · No0.4300.395$5.51−$0.49
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.125$5.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "Uber" in October? · No0.4800.315$3.28−$1.72
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · No0.2280.001$0.03−$11.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:42Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4299999991$5.00
10-01 05:40Will Trump say "Uber" in October?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-01 05:39Will Trump say "BMW" in October?BUY0.4299999807$6.00
09-28 21:43Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?BUY0.2279672892$12.00
09-24 10:10Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-22 05:18Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.386309631$4.29
09-22 05:18Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-22 05:17Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-18 19:54Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.014$0.17
09-18 19:54Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?SELL0.06$1.75
09-18 19:54Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-18 19:54Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
09-18 19:46Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?BUY0.5099999949$15.00
09-13 07:18Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3823529142$5.00
09-13 07:11Will the Mamdani’s announcement not air?BUY0.0484381177$1.00