PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

varchar255

0xc798197ae9aff808af4406320f31d822ae788aab

Realised P&L
$-621.62
Volume
$246.5k
Markets traded
844
Open portfolio
$30.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded844
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.95B? · No0.9000.705$14.10−$3.90
Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? · Yes0.5700.515$10.30−$1.10
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.3900.310$6.20−$1.60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner · Verdant0.1410.000$0.00−$18.68
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$4.00
Corbin Carroll: Home Runs O/U 0.5 · Over0.2000.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? · No0.2150.000$0.00−$25.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.3160.000$0.00−$2.00
Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.95
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.36% in September? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire · Surrey0.5810.000$0.00−$20.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:24Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?SELL0.33$6.60
10-13 06:14Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% by June 30, 2027?SELL0.35$7.00
10-13 05:39Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?SELL0.54$10.80
10-13 05:38Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.47$9.15
10-13 05:38Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?SELL0.2$4.00
10-13 05:38Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?SELL0.14$2.80
10-13 05:38Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B?SELL0.72$14.40
10-13 05:38Will AT&T (T) Q3 total revenue be above $32.4B?SELL0.82$16.40
10-13 05:37Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?SELL0.5$3.50
10-13 05:08Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above 1,250 koz?SELL0.14$2.80
10-13 05:07Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?SELL0.13$2.60
10-13 05:05Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $172 in October?SELL0.49$9.80
10-13 04:28Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?SELL0.87$17.40
10-13 03:21Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $210B?SELL0.82$2.46
10-13 02:32Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q3 total backlog be above $180B?SELL0.85$8.50