0xc79782a97c2880ab2dd9aa7fb5d7a2473c5c411b
0xc79782a97c2880ab2dd9aa7fb5d7a2473c5c411b
- Realised P&L
- $-3.84
- Volume
- $217.60
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $6.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.375 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.525 | $1.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.930 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.815 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.505 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.72at 0.430Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:57 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 13:24 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:11 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 06:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |