0xc78Df759748857AEef5FC3238Dc56EbD5472A31c-1781925806143
0xc78df759748857aeef5fc3238dc56ebd5472a31c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.93
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.14at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
- +$25.01at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?
- +$11.19at 0.156Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
- +$7.64at 0.572US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina
- +$6.99at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.2177458936 | $4.83 |
| 09-23 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.34 |
| 09-23 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $1.45 |
| 09-23 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.32 |
| 09-14 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.6799999767 | $3.50 |
| 09-04 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 11:47 | US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $2.93 |