PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

b3908

0xc77604062aa8a9603ee31d13445b80556e571e92

Realised P&L
$41.9k
Volume
$683.5k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$19.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9951.000$19.8k+$79.87
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1260.001$0.83−$207.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$328.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8250.000$0.00−$123.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$339.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$950.46
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00−$156.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$188.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$50.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.1k
Spain leading at halftime? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00−$3.1k
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$959.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 21:52Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.996$10.3k
10-29 21:52Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.994995349$3.3k
10-29 21:50Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.993$842.93
10-29 21:50Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.992$1.7k
10-29 03:49Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.997$2.3k
10-26 14:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.943999999$742.00
10-26 14:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.943$100.19
10-26 10:26Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.996$1.4k
10-22 16:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.94$17.4k
10-20 20:09Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.984$607.13
10-18 17:22Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.98$686.00
10-18 17:12Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.9102734311$15.2k
10-18 17:10Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?SELL0.13$78.00
10-18 17:08Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.69$414.00
10-18 14:21Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.8006493506$61.65