PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aribsite

0xc77599ee861e79526c4813191ce8ddf54770460c

Realised P&L
$-36.98
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$33.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? · No0.9680.984$11.80+$0.19
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 1? · No0.9900.975$11.70−$0.18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? · No0.9860.961$9.61−$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:01Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.968$11.62
10-01 15:06Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 1?BUY0.99$11.88
10-01 14:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?BUY0.986$9.86
10-01 13:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.985$9.85
10-01 06:13Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.978$7.82
10-01 06:10Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1?BUY0.97$7.76
10-01 00:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1?BUY0.981$4.91
09-30 14:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.985$4.92
09-30 12:57Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.987$7.90
09-30 11:07Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.97$14.55
09-30 11:00Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 30?BUY0.972$7.78
09-30 08:22Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.952$14.28
09-30 08:19Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.969$14.54
09-30 08:18Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.951$2.85
09-30 08:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.977$4.88