aribsite
0xc77599ee861e79526c4813191ce8ddf54770460c
- Realised P&L
- $-36.98
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $33.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? · No | 0.968 | 0.984 | $11.80 | +$0.19 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 1? · No | 0.990 | 0.975 | $11.70 | −$0.18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? · No | 0.986 | 0.961 | $9.61 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.51at 0.430Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?
- +$2.67at 0.388Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?
- +$2.63at 0.414Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.332Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.25at 0.371Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.968 | $11.62 |
| 10-01 15:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 10-01 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 10-01 13:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 10-01 06:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $7.82 |
| 10-01 06:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 10-01 00:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 1? | BUY | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 09-30 14:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 09-30 12:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $7.90 |
| 09-30 11:07 | Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $14.55 |
| 09-30 11:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $7.78 |
| 09-30 08:22 | Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $14.28 |
| 09-30 08:19 | Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $14.54 |
| 09-30 08:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $2.85 |
| 09-30 08:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.88 |