MALAKLYVAS666
0xc7749af249bef3fcdb17532640ebbd06df5cca17
- Realised P&L
- $-898.00
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $143.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.145 | $143.65 | −$416.35 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.213 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.96 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.89 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.48 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.12at 0.410Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$46.43at 0.140US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$40.00at 0.800Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.38at 0.170Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$2.12at 0.180Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 18:37 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.5652656151 | $560.00 |
| 03-07 11:47 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $78.89 |
| 03-07 11:46 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $78.89 |
| 02-28 19:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.4179999993 | $240.00 |
| 02-28 19:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.96 | $240.00 |
| 02-28 17:51 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.5385996404 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 17:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2937854925 | $68.48 |
| 02-28 17:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 10:08 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.0989985957 | $168.49 |
| 02-28 09:03 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999985 | $88.69 |
| 02-28 08:57 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1799359422 | $200.00 |
| 02-28 08:57 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $488.68 |
| 01-17 19:48 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999984 | $74.51 |
| 01-17 19:06 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $74.51 |
| 01-10 00:09 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999981 | $67.06 |