-Peace
0xc7729b31465e949178a95d59f893db9f326c9be7
- Realised P&L
- $-951.16
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $264.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.011 | $264.49 | −$395.82 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$695.80 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.33 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026? · No | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-26.03at 0.110Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 12:52 | Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0955046428 | $27.33 |
| 03-01 12:51 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.2364531939 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 12:50 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.169926666 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 12:45 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.1499999978 | $52.00 |
| 02-18 10:26 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $50.00 |
| 02-11 11:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0742117191 | $350.00 |
| 02-11 11:29 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0371301256 | $145.83 |
| 02-11 11:29 | Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0587592492 | $100.00 |
| 02-11 11:10 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.0355646231 | $150.00 |
| 01-27 13:19 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 01:43 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0298742429 | $260.32 |
| 01-20 01:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $260.32 |
| 01-20 01:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $286.35 |
| 01-19 23:58 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.0280001338 | $400.00 |