PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-Peace

0xc7729b31465e949178a95d59f893db9f326c9be7

Realised P&L
$-951.16
Volume
$46.1k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$264.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0290.011$264.49−$395.82
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$10.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$695.80
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$27.33
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00−$92.00
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026? · No0.0590.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 12:52Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0955046428$27.33
03-01 12:51Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?BUY0.2364531939$20.00
03-01 12:50Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?BUY0.169926666$20.00
03-01 12:45Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?BUY0.1499999978$52.00
02-18 10:26Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.025$50.00
02-11 11:38Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.0742117191$350.00
02-11 11:29Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.0371301256$145.83
02-11 11:29Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?BUY0.0587592492$100.00
02-11 11:10Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.0355646231$150.00
01-27 13:19Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.019$10.00
01-20 01:43Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.0298742429$260.32
01-20 01:42Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.1$260.32
01-20 01:02Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1099999997$286.35
01-19 23:58Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.0280001338$400.00