PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc76A7Eb8a067331E17f32F2fc7F67ECBcb08e1E0-1722906860832

0xc76a7eb8a067331e17f32f2fc7f67ecbcb08e1e0

Realised P&L
$-140.02
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$75.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0340.026$75.85$24.15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$17.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$4.00
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 23:37Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.1099999984$56.06
06-08 22:55Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.018$54.00
06-07 14:50Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0342786235$100.00
06-03 02:18Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.03$90.00
06-16 01:53Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?BUY0.0219999947$4.00
05-07 01:00Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?BUY0.024$17.00
10-05 15:37Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 15:34Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?BUY0.003$2.00
10-05 15:33No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?BUY0.0809999926$10.00
09-04 22:37Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
09-04 22:37No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?BUY0.025$2.00
09-01 00:22Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.5029998929$2.00