0xc76A7Eb8a067331E17f32F2fc7F67ECBcb08e1E0-1722906860832
0xc76a7eb8a067331e17f32f2fc7f67ecbcb08e1e0
- Realised P&L
- $-140.02
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $75.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.026 | $75.85 | −$24.15 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.503Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-36.00at 0.030Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$-46.34at 0.113Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 23:37 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.1099999984 | $56.06 |
| 06-08 22:55 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $54.00 |
| 06-07 14:50 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0342786235 | $100.00 |
| 06-03 02:18 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $90.00 |
| 06-16 01:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999947 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 01:00 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $17.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:34 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 15:33 | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BUY | 0.0809999926 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 22:37 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 22:37 | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 00:22 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5029998929 | $2.00 |