PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0xc76a5b07134ffff4c10843e8b9375098e52e5b9f

Realised P&L
$-7.00
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$8.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9310.968$7.61+$0.29
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0630.032$1.24−$1.19
Kings vs. Spurs · Kings0.0900.000$0.00−$0.26
Bulls vs. Celtics · Bulls0.1500.000$0.00−$0.52
Bucks vs. 76ers · Bucks0.1600.000$0.00−$0.33
Clippers vs. Thunder · Clippers0.1100.000$0.00−$0.20
Thunder vs. Mavericks · Thunder0.6800.000$0.00−$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 11:14Thunder vs. MavericksBUY0.68$1.24
10-27 11:18Kings vs. SpursBUY0.09$0.13
10-27 07:42Kings vs. SpursBUY0.09$0.13
10-26 07:15Bulls vs. CelticsBUY0.15$0.25
10-26 07:14Bulls vs. CelticsBUY0.15$0.27
10-25 06:56Clippers vs. ThunderBUY0.11$0.20
10-24 07:04Bucks vs. 76ersBUY0.16$0.33
10-23 08:08Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5BUY0.49$1.19
09-03 10:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.19
08-24 02:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.002$0.20
08-22 14:48Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?SELL0.014$0.90
08-22 14:47Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.015$0.97
08-22 14:47Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.002$0.50
08-22 14:47Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$1.00
08-22 02:25NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.001$0.67