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0xc76a5b07134ffff4c10843e8b9375098e52e5b9f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.00
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $8.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.931 | 0.968 | $7.61 | +$0.29 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.032 | $1.24 | −$1.19 |
| Kings vs. Spurs · Kings | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.26 |
| Bulls vs. Celtics · Bulls | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.52 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers · Bucks | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.33 |
| Clippers vs. Thunder · Clippers | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Thunder vs. Mavericks · Thunder | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.490Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5
- +$-0.06at 0.344Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.19at 0.016Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
- +$-0.53at 0.003Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.56at 0.004Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:14 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.68 | $1.24 |
| 10-27 11:18 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.09 | $0.13 |
| 10-27 07:42 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.09 | $0.13 |
| 10-26 07:15 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.15 | $0.25 |
| 10-26 07:14 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.15 | $0.27 |
| 10-25 06:56 | Clippers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.11 | $0.20 |
| 10-24 07:04 | Bucks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.16 | $0.33 |
| 10-23 08:08 | Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $1.19 |
| 09-03 10:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 08-24 02:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-22 14:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.90 |
| 08-22 14:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.97 |
| 08-22 14:47 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 08-22 14:47 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 02:25 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |