Yeahhhhhhhhhhhh
0xc762fc3ff715fe91f90f327ff9de53ec2a422ce4
- Realised P&L
- $245.81
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $12.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.099 | $12.26 | +$2.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.03at 0.123Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$112.38at 0.014Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$108.48at 0.072Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$69.86at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
- +$65.04at 0.870Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $25.19 |
| 08-21 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $23.90 |
| 08-21 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.819999982 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $14.55 |
| 08-21 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $23.57 |
| 08-21 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999798 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $11.36 |
| 08-21 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $23.09 |
| 08-21 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999798 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $29.25 |
| 08-21 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.78 |