hutronafx
0xc75ff43b257aa9ec94cf2e4ce88ff09d8f61d35e
- Realised P&L
- $8.16
- Volume
- $457.21
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $6.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.115 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.910 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.295 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.043 | $0.84 | −$2.16 |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs · EDward Gaming | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.72at 0.377Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner
- +$7.80at 0.394Valorant: QuGuangHao Gaming vs Tidal Legends Gaming (BO3) - VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs
- +$7.78at 0.285Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
- +$3.04at 0.502Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Open Qualifier Playoffs
- +$1.33at 0.608Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:34 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $18.92 |
| 09-15 16:34 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Open Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $6.11 |
| 09-15 16:28 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 16:27 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 15:25 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:02 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:58 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Open Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:56 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.5909999572 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 14:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 14:27 | Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $10.88 |