0xC75b40d32b4b039a27526b310eA7cC2B3a69efCA-1767953744551
0xc75b40d32b4b039a27526b310ea7cc2b3a69efca
- Realised P&L
- $-780.84
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $37.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.095 | $31.56 | −$52.92 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.019 | $5.85 | −$13.05 |
| Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? · No | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in January? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.829 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? · Up | 0.773 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.42 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? · No | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.66 |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31? · Yes | 0.603 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.99 |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.00at 0.700Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$63.93at 0.610Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?
- +$50.17at 0.679Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
- +$36.00at 0.640Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
- +$32.34at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 07:39 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | SELL | 0.809 | $50.45 |
| 06-16 15:03 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 02-12 14:00 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.40 |
| 02-12 14:00 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.75 |
| 02-09 21:04 | Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.53 |
| 02-09 21:00 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.063 | $3.72 |
| 02-04 21:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BUY | 0.7727483902 | $100.00 |
| 02-03 18:57 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.32 |
| 02-03 18:44 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 02-02 22:17 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 02-02 21:30 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8286579883 | $200.00 |
| 02-02 09:32 | Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.679546402 | $200.00 |
| 02-01 12:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 01-31 20:43 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | SELL | 0.802130712 | $30.19 |
| 01-31 18:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | SELL | 0.92 | $269.96 |