PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChristineMueller9039

0xc758e34d74cd7f7e9a989e0673ddd9448e668153

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$66.4k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$112.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4500.475$101.17+$5.33
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.190$7.79$27.47
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7300.005$3.07$405.00
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$16.24
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$52.38
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? · No0.7500.000$0.00$195.00
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$183.56
Will Megabonk win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$1.34
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$171.76
Will coffeexcoin win the competition? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$116.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-11 04:08Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?SELL0.89$118.04
01-11 03:33Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?BUY0.88$336.16
01-10 23:21Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?SELL0.61$26.23
01-10 23:19Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?SELL0.61$106.75
01-10 23:17Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?SELL0.61$164.09
01-10 19:22Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?SELL0.45$53.10
01-10 17:46Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.764$22.92
01-10 04:08Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?SELL0.8$157.60
01-09 23:12Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?BUY0.65$316.55
01-09 15:14Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.842$25.26
01-09 14:39Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?SELL0.1$8.40
01-09 04:32Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.73$28.47
01-09 03:27Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?BUY0.75$29.25
01-08 23:47Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?SELL0.25$186.75
01-08 22:25Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?SELL0.26$2.34