tianjiyuyunzhilu
0xc757850237e266d3b08d16b8455777a88590ccfc
- Realised P&L
- $30.4k
- Volume
- $12.35M
- Markets traded
- 1,984
- Open portfolio
- $752.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,984
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.980 | $489.75 | +$19.75 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.973 | $263.05 | +$22.32 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.951Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$1.5kat 0.970US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.858Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.949Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$1.1kat 0.980US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 10-31 18:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $2.0k |
| 10-31 16:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.8k |
| 10-31 15:51 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.7k |
| 10-31 15:46 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9946569137 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9835025126 | $195.72 |
| 10-31 12:04 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.903 | $180.60 |
| 10-31 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 10-31 04:33 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969551133 | $3.0k |
| 10-30 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 10-30 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.6k |
| 10-30 11:14 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 10-30 11:12 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.98 |
| 10-30 10:10 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $35.00 |