Johnny7524
0xc743a415d34567dba3ffd957038e41aee8a43793
- Realised P&L
- $-76.91
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $44.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 18? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $17.61 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $7.21 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.991Will Kanye launch a token on Solana?
- +$0.34at 0.994Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$0.25at 0.998Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in his first 100 days?
- +$0.15at 0.997Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $17.60 |
| 09-17 20:56 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.60 |
| 09-17 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.21 |
| 09-17 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.30 |
| 09-17 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9989999854 | $12.80 |
| 09-16 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.40 |
| 09-14 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989998519 | $5.22 |
| 09-14 12:42 | Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.10 |
| 09-14 11:47 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.9979999929 | $26.40 |
| 09-13 20:30 | Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.30 |
| 09-13 14:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13? | BUY | 0.9987357713 | $18.90 |
| 09-13 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.70 |
| 09-12 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.80 |
| 09-07 12:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7? | BUY | 0.9989999897 | $26.70 |
| 09-07 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.41 |