PolyBot

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Traders

plm16

0xc7398f28fafade9bec542eb444b0f3788a96e55d

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$210.3k
Markets traded
1,764
Open portfolio
$172.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,764
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26? · Yes0.9140.930$145.38+$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 26? · No0.9321.000$27.14+$1.84
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26? · Yes0.8490.001$0.04−$75.64
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 2? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$52.97
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 29? · No0.9680.000$0.00−$7.76
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00−$27.16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10? · Yes0.9020.000$0.00−$180.18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 9? · No0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 13? · Yes0.9420.000$0.00−$108.30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19? · Yes0.9590.000$0.00−$54.41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 30? · Yes0.9500.000$0.00−$6.65
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 1? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$35.49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$14.40
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 3? · Yes0.9590.000$0.00−$186.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26?BUY0.9140074276$142.88
09-26 13:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26?SELL0.99$138.90
09-26 13:14Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?SELL0.99$11.88
09-26 13:02Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 26?SELL0.99$19.80
09-26 12:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 26?BUY0.9318769883$43.94
09-26 12:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.92$11.04
09-26 11:54Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.9513606557$133.48
09-26 09:21Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26?BUY0.8490004624$75.68
09-26 00:17Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 25?SELL0.99$24.75
09-26 00:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25?SELL0.99$9.90
09-25 23:56Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?SELL0.99$67.32
09-25 23:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?SELL0.99$0.48
09-25 22:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25?BUY0.9522984422$34.84
09-25 22:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?BUY0.943478455$84.52
09-25 21:56Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 25?BUY0.882$22.05