plm16
0xc7398f28fafade9bec542eb444b0f3788a96e55d
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $210.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,764
- Open portfolio
- $172.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,764
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$440.01at 0.029Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 29?
- +$224.92at 0.353Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?
- +$48.27at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?
- +$31.65at 0.841Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 3?
- +$25.19at 0.758Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.9140074276 | $142.88 |
| 09-26 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $138.90 |
| 09-26 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-26 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9318769883 | $43.94 |
| 09-26 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.04 |
| 09-26 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9513606557 | $133.48 |
| 09-26 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.8490004624 | $75.68 |
| 09-26 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-26 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-25 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $67.32 |
| 09-25 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.48 |
| 09-25 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9522984422 | $34.84 |
| 09-25 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.943478455 | $84.52 |
| 09-25 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.882 | $22.05 |