PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC729d4143a5c9cA6cFc51830c8aae8E417967534-1770726235095

0xc729d4143a5c9ca6cfc51830c8aae8e417967534

Realised P&L
$309.23
Volume
$28.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$159.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0930.227$159.13+$94.13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 8? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$26.10
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$27.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$20.00
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$60.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$41.00
Will Binance be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$19.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$57.10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 6? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 20:38Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?SELL0.1118$5.59
04-11 23:15Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?BUY0.04$0.33
04-11 15:08Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?BUY0.12$5.55
04-10 00:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?SELL0.2$35.77
04-10 00:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?SELL0.2$23.85
04-10 00:29Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.012$6.00
04-09 23:53Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.011$0.64
04-09 18:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?SELL0.18$0.90
04-09 13:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?BUY0.12$1.09
04-08 15:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 8?BUY0.024$1.02
04-07 22:11US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.63$216.00
03-30 18:06US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.18$54.00
03-19 18:04US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
03-19 18:04US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.2099999978$60.00
03-11 22:47US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.0269999987$20.00