0xDF0Ed9C1761ea0bB066749bbd0935B2568827627-1772974192866
0xc7259c790cda5220617e1794b2db66c529d28bf1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $35.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $814.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No | 0.501 | 0.545 | $434.71 | +$34.71 |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No | 0.485 | 0.525 | $216.29 | +$16.29 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.964 | $163.19 | +$63.19 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.55at 0.480Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$34.05at 0.462Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- +$-9.53at 0.690Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-10.43at 0.332Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-62.76at 0.039Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:18 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0211570238 | $31.09 |
| 10-29 09:38 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0322002667 | $47.32 |
| 10-29 08:23 | Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0693614176 | $72.10 |
| 10-29 04:37 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5904059041 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 21:36 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0236265934 | $59.76 |
| 10-28 21:20 | Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3848008894 | $400.00 |
| 10-28 19:34 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.541 | $234.05 |
| 10-28 18:19 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1979275188 | $200.00 |
| 10-28 17:00 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1975322962 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 16:49 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.5597201377 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 16:46 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1100787154 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 14:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3201315586 | $289.57 |
| 10-28 14:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.48 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 14:15 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3316583698 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 14:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.48 | $300.00 |