Tuxedo.
0xc713da301377e6b096aa0dfa0a7152c22e888b8e
- Realised P&L
- $-49.77
- Volume
- $642.10
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $21.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Rytas vs. Sabah Baku · BC Rytas | 0.830 | 1.000 | $12.04 | +$2.04 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.865 | $9.83 | −$0.17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-19? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Oregon vs. Oklahoma State · Oregon | 0.731 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.54at 0.867XRP Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$3.04at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$2.92at 0.873Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$1.03at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$1.00at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:15 | BC Rytas vs. Sabah Baku | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.49 |
| 10-05 20:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 20:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 17:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 01:33 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 01:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.958999997 | $5.17 |
| 09-28 01:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.17 |
| 09-26 11:04 | Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Kamil Majchrzak | BUY | 0.9969998483 | $5.12 |
| 09-25 16:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 18:02 | Will CSD Mixco win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.08 |
| 09-13 14:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 20:30 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.9869999943 | $1.03 |