therealska
0xc7130f837a7457ee3cc87323c43a33a36e1cbaa6
- Realised P&L
- $-100.82
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $50.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.500 | 0.495 | $22.77 | −$0.23 |
| Oilers vs. Devils · Oilers | 0.400 | 0.400 | $21.20 | +$0.00 |
| Wild vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.380 | 0.375 | $3.75 | −$0.05 |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs · Utah | 0.530 | 0.545 | $2.73 | +$0.07 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.69at 0.442Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
- +$56.00at 0.450Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$32.90at 0.402Red Wings vs. Oilers
- +$22.44at 0.522Kings vs. Blackhawks
- +$15.33at 0.651Bruins vs. Hurricanes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:05 | Wild vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Oilers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.4 | $21.20 |
| 10-31 16:23 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | SELL | 0.47 | $19.74 |
| 10-31 01:03 | Golden Knights vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.5 | $23.00 |
| 10-30 07:03 | Utah vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 10-30 05:03 | Sabres vs. Kings | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-29 19:00 | Senators vs. Kings | SELL | 0.52 | $21.32 |
| 10-29 12:56 | Penguins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4 | $16.80 |
| 10-28 17:38 | Devils vs. Avalanche | SELL | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 10-28 13:46 | Devils vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.58 | $26.10 |
| 10-28 11:17 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.52 | $21.32 |
| 10-28 05:33 | Sabres vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-28 04:39 | Kraken vs. Flames | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-27 13:57 | Kraken vs. Flames | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-26 08:32 | Bruins vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.64 | $28.16 |