0xDonaldTrump
0xc70d0c20f745b26aa3c2869e4b1e7f8970c0173f
- Realised P&L
- $219.62
- Volume
- $56.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.976 | $1.8k | +$42.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.17at 0.974Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$18.12at 0.989Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
- +$12.93at 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$12.04at 0.993Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$9.95at 0.994Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 06:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 08-04 04:53 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 07-28 20:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 07-05 21:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $640.21 |
| 06-26 19:06 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $107.04 |
| 06-26 18:42 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.35 |
| 06-26 18:42 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $96.66 |
| 06-26 18:42 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 06-26 18:42 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $137.39 |
| 06-26 18:39 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.18 |
| 06-26 18:39 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.79 |
| 06-26 18:38 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $418.88 |
| 06-17 22:54 | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 06-12 18:59 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 06-09 05:42 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.7k |