PolyBot

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Traders

wrongbyone

0xc706c3d0bece2666ffb6c48627ac2779d86848cf

Realised P&L
$-501.61
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
829
Open portfolio
$11.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded829
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 08:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.0122394366$1.74
08-19 05:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?BUY0.8$4.00
08-19 05:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?BUY0.9$5.40
08-18 05:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?BUY0.71$3.55
08-18 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?BUY0.76$5.32
08-18 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 20?BUY0.89$5.34
08-17 05:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?BUY0.69$3.45
08-17 05:20Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?BUY0.91$4.55
08-17 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?BUY0.88$5.28
08-16 05:42Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?BUY0.79$3.95
08-16 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?BUY0.77$3.85
08-16 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?BUY0.77$3.85
08-16 03:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?SELL0.95$6.65
08-16 03:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?SELL0.98$6.86
08-16 03:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?SELL0.73$3.65