CrazyArab
0xc704cc5401580f804c4feb743167824ecbd4045c
- Realised P&L
- $-15.6k
- Volume
- $4.26M
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $44.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.003 | $44.57 | −$205.91 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23? · Yes | 0.746 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$457.63 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? · No | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$351.72 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.051Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$1.2kat 0.835Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.1kat 0.767Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.880Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$766.14at 0.002Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:42 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $9.19 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.026 | $13.00 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0246720538 | $14.33 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0228986307 | $9.63 |
| 09-14 20:39 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0196467489 | $32.48 |
| 09-14 20:38 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $34.52 |
| 09-14 20:38 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $8.67 |
| 09-14 20:37 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $15.39 |
| 09-14 20:37 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0148372396 | $0.91 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 00:08 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.98 |
| 09-08 00:39 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0100719424 | $1.40 |