PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

CrazyArab

0xc704cc5401580f804c4feb743167824ecbd4045c

Realised P&L
$-15.6k
Volume
$4.26M
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$44.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.003$44.57$205.91
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23? · Yes0.7460.000$0.00$457.63
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? · No0.1880.000$0.00$1.2k
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$351.72
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$44.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:42Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.026$9.19
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$15.00
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$1.00
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.026$13.00
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$1.00
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0246720538$14.33
09-14 20:41Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0228986307$9.63
09-14 20:39Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0196467489$32.48
09-14 20:38Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$34.52
09-14 20:38Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.017$8.67
09-14 20:37Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$15.39
09-14 20:37Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0148372396$0.91
09-14 20:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$2.0k
09-09 00:08Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.016$3.98
09-08 00:39Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0100719424$1.40