Harryboy18
0xc6e31375d599787d6e90f67588ca038fc3c4aeb6
- Realised P&L
- $-133.61
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $61.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.055 | $57.38 | −$12.62 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.340 | $4.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.84at 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$36.96at 0.686Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?
- +$6.82at 0.780Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$6.77at 0.590Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
- +$6.67at 0.840Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 20:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:37 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.0670950701 | $70.00 |
| 05-30 19:26 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.84 |
| 04-16 12:47 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.4 | $23.14 |
| 04-16 12:45 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 04-16 12:45 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3399999968 | $40.00 |
| 04-16 12:45 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $42.58 |
| 04-09 14:26 | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.8399999856 | $35.00 |
| 03-26 17:25 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $35.26 |
| 03-10 18:58 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3453635625 | $94.00 |
| 03-07 21:16 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 20:31 | Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026? | SELL | 0.8519734482 | $189.96 |
| 03-05 07:49 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0155985258 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 19:58 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $13.17 |
| 03-03 19:57 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.78 |