thebiggray
0xc6e2f4259e4c6e4da9007fa7175f0d8a2a7611d1
- Realised P&L
- $21.4k
- Volume
- $3.21M
- Markets traded
- 15,125
- Open portfolio
- $37.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15,125
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2PM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
- +$2.0kat 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3725490163 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.732673263 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 00:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 00:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4651162791 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3832923773 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 23:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |