W.-
0xc6e1a61da4ff3d0b29a802c50b107fab29dbfa2a
- Realised P&L
- $183.37
- Volume
- $99.6k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $31.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.061 | $18.30 | −$32.70 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.066 | $13.20 | −$50.80 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$459.93 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? · Down | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$853.22at 0.146Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$681.24at 0.120Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$319.11at 0.433Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$259.67at 0.551Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$253.84at 0.553Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $19.40 |
| 09-14 04:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $48.41 |
| 09-02 16:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999993 | $114.71 |
| 08-29 10:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999991 | $127.41 |
| 08-27 05:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $150.00 |
| 08-18 10:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.025344111 | $47.66 |
| 08-13 11:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.198757764 | $40.00 |
| 08-10 12:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 16:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.4799999957 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 05:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 09:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $120.00 |
| 08-05 13:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.5890094037 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 14:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.4438664215 | $258.25 |
| 07-31 13:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 12:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.3386454172 | $150.00 |