smhwat
0xc6d6ebec48e1719a946dcfacbfb034f680be6f87
- Realised P&L
- $347.80
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $25.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.61at 0.431Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$126.33at 0.202Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$98.75at 0.733Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$81.36at 0.292Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$78.04at 0.137Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:41 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 15:41 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:46 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 02:46 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 02:44 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:11 | Real Madrid vs. Unicaja | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:59 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 09-24 21:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:17 | Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 15:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 15:15 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 20:30 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 08-31 16:22 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 16:20 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 20:19 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $24.89 |