PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smhwat

0xc6d6ebec48e1719a946dcfacbfb034f680be6f87

Realised P&L
$347.80
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$25.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8600.855$8.55−$0.05
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox · Colorado Rockies0.3900.325$6.67−$1.33
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2300.225$4.89−$0.11
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.505$2.81−$0.19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3800.385$2.03+$0.03
Real Madrid vs. Unicaja · Real Madrid0.8400.725$0.86−$0.14
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev · Zverev0.1200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$16.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$3.22
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverev · Zverev0.3900.000$0.00−$3.90
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$1.02
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$33.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$9.50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:41Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsBUY0.6199998946$2.00
09-25 15:41Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsBUY0.4$1.00
09-25 02:46Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-25 02:46Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-25 02:44Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-24 22:11Real Madrid vs. UnicajaBUY0.84$1.00
09-24 21:59Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.86$8.60
09-24 21:562026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.3799999924$2.00
09-23 15:17Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil MajchrzakBUY0.4399999883$3.00
09-23 15:16Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$3.00
09-23 15:15Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-19 20:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2$1.20
08-31 16:22San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.649999935$3.00
08-31 16:20San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-23 20:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.95$24.89