Dakaz
0xc6d12288d13b3ff6c4e73822715277f5fc660134
- Realised P&L
- $-5.61
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.230 | $4.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.220 | 0.180 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.046 | $0.96 | −$4.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.135 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.92at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$2.97at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$2.82at 0.591Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$2.09at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.826Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.33 |
| 09-15 09:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 08:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:35 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 07:28 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | SELL | 0.981 | $5.97 |
| 09-15 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 05:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.36 |
| 09-14 09:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 09:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 09:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |