PollyPepperoni
0xc6ce4a5b5881c1e3ba74c221f0457a794734fc99
- Realised P&L
- $84.79
- Volume
- $102.1k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $233.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.470Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
- +$4.5kat 0.590Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$3.4kat 0.540O/U 2.5 Rounds
- +$1.6kat 0.480UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$1.3kat 0.536O/U 1.5 Rounds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:45 | Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.33 | $137.60 |
| 09-16 16:22 | Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.66 | $151.14 |
| 09-11 12:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $18.55 |
| 09-11 09:59 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-11 08:33 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $759.39 |
| 09-09 10:43 | Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $53.37 |
| 09-04 15:24 | UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.75 | $52.64 |
| 09-04 12:16 | UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6 | $916.21 |
| 08-16 17:24 | Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.27 | $2.75 |
| 08-14 16:42 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 08-14 10:35 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 08-14 10:33 | UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-12 08:52 | UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 08-12 00:53 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 02-28 05:17 | Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Tallon Griekspoor | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |