0xc6cdE5F15a553D8ae51345d62c02f95413CCdF63-1779680659948
0xc6cde5f15a553d8ae51345d62c02f95413ccdf63
- Realised P&L
- $-23.57
- Volume
- $833.21
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No | 0.293 | 0.245 | $5.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.440 | $4.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.185 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Down | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · No | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.99at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$2.15at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$1.15at 0.345Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 02:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $0.46 |
| 09-19 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-19 01:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $1.36 |
| 09-19 01:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $0.59 |
| 09-19 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $1.66 |
| 09-19 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |