PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cheadle

0xc6c5e163d31511ee06e525043582235a95491e30

Realised P&L
$-26.40
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$205.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election? · No0.6900.785$205.49+$24.87
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$122.00
GTA VI released in 2025? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 17:32Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?BUY0.6899999989$180.62
05-04 18:13Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?BUY0.7199999986$122.00
04-07 12:53Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?BUY0.7230259154$132.37
04-07 12:53Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.4092386562$50.00
02-12 08:48Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999964$50.00
10-11 06:54Will GTA 6 cost $100+?SELL0.942$47.63
10-10 00:10Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?SELL0.9682980906$184.08
08-17 15:19Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?BUY0.5680774771$108.00
03-23 09:21Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?BUY0.76$40.38
03-23 09:19Will the U.S. military implement transgender ban? SELL0.976612595$39.86
03-22 18:24Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.8899999913$45.00
03-01 08:43Will Hooters file for bankruptcy before June?BUY0.4544529212$38.00
03-01 08:35Will the U.S. military implement transgender ban? BUY0.4899999939$20.00
02-26 12:45Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?BUY0.7299999994$25.00
02-26 12:42Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?BUY0.7$15.00