0xC6c539db34E0eDc6f89254cbE4F31561B9856f9C-1772198640454
0xc6c539db34e0edc6f89254cbe4f31561b9856f9c
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $652.4k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $54.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.394Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$2.9kat 0.060Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$2.2kat 0.066Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$1.9kat 0.098Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$1.7kat 0.657Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 18:28 | FC Barcelona to win the second half? | BUY | 0.3971808106 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 18:27 | João Cancelo: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 18:26 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0343526287 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 18:26 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.0719999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 18:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 18:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $238.21 |
| 10-19 18:00 | Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 17:59 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | SELL | 0.0137281001 | $52.28 |
| 10-14 11:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 12:08 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4499999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-30 10:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2199725034 | $400.00 |
| 09-30 10:54 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0024990956 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 10:54 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.0346606423 | $300.00 |
| 09-30 10:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0294605132 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 10:48 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |