fine2026
0xc6bdec8927e17911a957fcc3428626ac2ab86a35
- Realised P&L
- $-38.3k
- Volume
- $1.64M
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $400.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.018 | $400.96 | −$882.07 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.84 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.2k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 08:33 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $13.05 |
| 10-18 08:33 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.37 |
| 06-09 15:05 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $53.65 |
| 04-21 14:35 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $158.02 |
| 04-21 14:20 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $40.00 |
| 04-21 14:19 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $37.94 |
| 04-09 03:32 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $108.00 |
| 04-06 15:11 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $210.00 |
| 04-06 15:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $65.00 |
| 04-06 15:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.00 |
| 04-06 15:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $17.85 |
| 04-06 15:09 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $27.48 |
| 04-02 09:40 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.018 | $21.82 |
| 04-02 09:28 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $162.00 |
| 04-02 03:26 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $162.00 |