Cilingir
0xc6bdae43e69583481c0f8b839bd6f53733224232
- Realised P&L
- $5.16
- Volume
- $180.23
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $13.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.44at 0.403Will Alaves win on 2025-11-02?
- +$4.15at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7AM ET
- +$3.77at 0.570Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?
- +$2.88at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.94at 0.720Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 10:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 19:06 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 19:05 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:59 | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:59 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:58 | Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.777 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:57 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7289998622 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:55 | Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:54 | Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9769999834 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:53 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:53 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:52 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 03-06 21:51 | Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |