tipo
0xc6b6677f76ec2b76d961665024408c39aed13add
- Realised P&L
- $-831.14
- Volume
- $341.7k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $648.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.345 | $300.49 | −$37.14 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.496 | 0.430 | $150.86 | −$23.14 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.310 | $93.00 | +$15.00 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.255 | $76.50 | +$1.50 |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.070 | $12.73 | −$7.27 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.029 | $9.37 | −$10.63 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.019 | $5.85 | −$21.15 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.34at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$144.61at 0.032Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$99.32at 0.045Bitcoin above $122000 on August 13?
- +$76.30at 0.050Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$66.18at 0.035Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 21:53 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF? | SELL | 0.0856148288 | $4.98 |
| 10-25 21:52 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.78 | $18.56 |
| 10-25 21:50 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:29 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:29 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3 | $18.75 |
| 10-25 21:29 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.47 | $20.14 |
| 10-25 21:26 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 20:44 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3499999988 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 20:10 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 07:45 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 12:57 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 12:55 | Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $6.83 |
| 09-10 20:50 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.38 | $114.57 |
| 09-10 20:49 | Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5791653333 | $173.75 |