xxzws1
0xc6b13482e72f656519705d792a1f25587a6c78fd
- Realised P&L
- $230.1k
- Volume
- $8.08M
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.074 | $7.4k | −$4.2k |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
| Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.3k |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · New York Mets | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.1k |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.7k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.6k |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
| Wild vs. Predators · Wild | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.6k |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) · Mavericks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.4kat 0.350Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$70.2kat 0.294Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
- +$48.3kat 0.373Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?
- +$42.5kat 0.295Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
- +$42.2kat 0.348Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 21:32 | Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $7.9k |
| 07-24 19:17 | Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.4k |
| 07-24 18:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-24 18:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.9k |
| 07-24 05:59 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1188893958 | $2.0k |
| 07-24 00:18 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1244342758 | $5.0k |
| 07-24 00:16 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.114 | $279.20 |
| 07-23 21:02 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $4.7k |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0899712878 | $1000.00 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6734951424 | $10.0k |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $42.8k |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7640880863 | $9.7k |
| 07-19 20:26 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.0k |
| 07-19 20:11 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.2k |
| 07-18 22:12 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.1233419973 | $180.33 |