xxzws1
0xc6b13482e72f656519705d792a1f25587a6c78fd
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $9.96M
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $293.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.475 | $293.79 | +$34.02 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.0k |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08? · No | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.4k |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
| Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Hornets vs. Celtics · Hornets | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.5k |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · New York Mets | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.3k |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.7k |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.3k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.7k |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.5kat 0.357Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$70.0kat 0.295Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
- +$48.3kat 0.373Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?
- +$42.5kat 0.295Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
- +$42.1kat 0.349Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:20 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.42 | $51.07 |
| 10-04 22:25 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.002384362 | $58.25 |
| 10-04 22:25 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.0041975895 | $23.62 |
| 10-04 21:47 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.055 | $110.00 |
| 10-04 21:45 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 21:39 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 21:24 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 21:19 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.00 |
| 09-24 20:59 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $2.9k |
| 09-24 19:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 16:31 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.42 | $5.1k |
| 09-22 16:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.42 | $5.1k |
| 09-22 16:28 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.42 | $4.8k |
| 09-21 23:11 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $3.1k |
| 09-21 23:08 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $3.3k |