MrExPLO
0xc6af8824b8d4f0ef602f7bd160372eb3401127ed
- Realised P&L
- $-345.71
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $15.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?
- +$0.16at 0.460Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$-9.29at 0.170Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 14:18 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.091 | $10.71 |
| 02-10 02:54 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 01-16 04:45 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 01-16 03:09 | Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? | BUY | 0.1094386548 | $10.00 |
| 01-15 03:42 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 01-15 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |
| 01-15 03:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 11-10 01:02 | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.84 |
| 11-09 19:54 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 11-09 19:52 | Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | BUY | 0.46 | $3.68 |
| 11-09 19:52 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 11-04 01:06 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0929999922 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 17:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.00 |
| 08-28 02:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $116K August 25–31? | BUY | 0.23 | $14.95 |
| 08-27 23:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $115K August 25–31? | BUY | 0.35 | $96.25 |