RoadTo1MillionUsd
0xc6ae4cdece4be7f21b747eb11f6eaaa37972afe9
- Realised P&L
- $-90.0k
- Volume
- $2.49M
- Markets traded
- 1,126
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.520 | 1.000 | $751.55 | +$360.55 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $493.59 | −$6.41 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.410 | 0.425 | $308.90 | +$10.90 |
| Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.545 | $287.36 | −$2.64 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs · Miami Marlins | 0.350 | 0.345 | $264.50 | −$3.83 |
| St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur · Matteo Martineau | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.00 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 4 Winner · 3DMAX | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$286.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.00 |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva · Alina Charaeva | 0.551 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$398.00 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5 · Under | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$476.00 |
| Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher · Alice Tubello | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$286.00 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners · Houston Astros | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$586.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.170Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$8.1kat 0.380Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
- +$4.7kat 0.250Trail Blazers vs. 76ers
- +$4.6kat 0.336Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$3.8kat 0.210Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:59 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.3499999999 | $268.33 |
| 09-24 15:59 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3899999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-24 15:58 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999992 | $290.00 |
| 09-24 15:53 | Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $391.00 |
| 09-24 15:37 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $298.00 |
| 09-24 15:35 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Barbora Palicova | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 09-24 15:05 | Will Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $91.00 |
| 09-24 13:45 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $288.00 |
| 09-24 12:45 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Barbora Palicova | BUY | 0.3914100922 | $393.00 |
| 09-24 12:05 | St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Daniel Masur | BUY | 0.4636368629 | $291.00 |
| 09-24 12:03 | Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher | BUY | 0.4299999994 | $286.00 |
| 09-24 11:48 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.0k |
| 09-24 08:57 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.289905976 | $185.00 |
| 09-24 08:56 | Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.45 | $558.00 |
| 09-24 08:52 | Chengdu Open: Moise Kouame vs Alexandre Muller | BUY | 0.5 | $486.00 |