Xqur
0xc6ab9014dea7d983939801ab8f7826a40f8fc936
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $379.6k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $536.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 22? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.979 | $536.46 | −$10.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.940Spread: Norway (-1.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.971Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
- +$1.0kat 0.982Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
- +$251.09at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 15?
- +$200.34at 0.759Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 10:49 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $547.15 |
| 07-22 11:33 | Waltert vs. Sherif: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-22 11:32 | Waltert vs. Sherif: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-22 11:31 | Waltert vs. Sherif: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-22 11:25 | Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 07-22 11:23 | Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $6.92 |
| 07-14 15:29 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.992 | $521.04 |
| 07-06 14:20 | Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.982 | $1.4k |
| 07-06 00:59 | Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | BUY | 0.972 | $1.3k |
| 07-06 00:58 | Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | BUY | 0.97 | $6.9k |
| 07-05 08:15 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $14.8k |
| 06-03 13:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $480.76 |
| 05-18 12:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $480.27 |
| 05-09 15:14 | Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $183.98 |
| 05-09 15:13 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on May 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $317.73 |