PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Chupa

0xc69d04c6a5f716953932b99071d8e55e0cf81262

Realised P&L
$47.1k
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$653.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2000.055$405.76−$1.1k
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.021$204.98−$894.91
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.009$42.49−$207.43
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5500.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$718.69
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.99
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$76.87
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$62.32
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$25.54
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$240.00
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$13.86
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$52.59
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.07
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$101.62
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$16.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 12:51Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?SELL0.002$4.00
04-11 12:51Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?SELL0.003$10.40
04-11 12:50Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?SELL0.003$6.02
04-11 12:49Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?SELL0.003$17.77
04-11 12:49Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?SELL0.004$2.66
05-14 21:30Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.015$14.02
11-14 20:02Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?SELL0.035$5.95
11-14 06:59Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.05$93.05
11-14 06:50Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.07$15.59
11-11 12:00Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?BUY0.03$13.72
11-11 09:38Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?BUY0.028$4.21
11-10 14:09Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.05$1.51
11-05 09:22Cavaliers vs. PelicansBUY0.21$18.90
11-05 08:58Knicks vs. HawksBUY0.6799055556$611.92
11-05 08:51Warriors vs. CelticsBUY0.69$10.35