Chupa
0xc69d04c6a5f716953932b99071d8e55e0cf81262
- Realised P&L
- $47.1k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $653.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.3kat 0.536Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$7.8kat 0.461Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?
- +$4.7kat 0.439Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
- +$4.4kat 0.560Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?
- +$4.3kat 0.679Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 12:51 | Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | SELL | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 04-11 12:51 | Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | SELL | 0.003 | $10.40 |
| 04-11 12:50 | Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.02 |
| 04-11 12:49 | Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | SELL | 0.003 | $17.77 |
| 04-11 12:49 | Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.66 |
| 05-14 21:30 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $14.02 |
| 11-14 20:02 | Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.035 | $5.95 |
| 11-14 06:59 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $93.05 |
| 11-14 06:50 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $15.59 |
| 11-11 12:00 | Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.03 | $13.72 |
| 11-11 09:38 | Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.028 | $4.21 |
| 11-10 14:09 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.51 |
| 11-05 09:22 | Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.21 | $18.90 |
| 11-05 08:58 | Knicks vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.6799055556 | $611.92 |
| 11-05 08:51 | Warriors vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |